Monthly Archives: February 2022

The Market Manifesto essays …

I post my per­son­al writ­ings here. I am Ted Hearne, a trad­er and writer cur­rent­ly liv­ing in the Unit­ed States. Every­thing here is per­son­al, not col­lec­tive, thus these writ­ings, opin­ions, rumi­na­tions and thoughts are my own. I write most­ly for my own amuse­ment, but hap­py to share with you if you would like to explore […]

The Direction of the Crowd

We speak here of how the crowd seeks direc­tion. And we speak of seek­ing direc­tion when direc­tion is not appar­ent. When the mar­ket is in con­ges­tion, we know that direc­tion is uncer­tain. That is what con­ges­tion is, a weav­ing back and forth between upper and low­er lim­its, with the ulti­mate exit direc­tion from those lim­its […]

Theory of Endings

In many dis­ci­plines it makes more sense to mon­i­tor the end­ing of the old with the idea in mind that this end­ing gives us ear­ly warn­ing of the new.
Cer­tain­ly that is true in fields like trad­ing, where we are inter­est­ed in activ­i­ty on the edge, on the mar­gin, in the evolv­ing present, in the real time of now.

On Fear

We speak here about fear, and how one learns to over­come it, and about how one learns in gen­er­al. As my friend Char­lie says, “fear is the prod­uct of an undis­ci­plined mind.” There­fore it can be elim­i­nat­ed through the appli­ca­tion of dis­ci­pline. If you always have per­fect dis­ci­pline, you can stop read­ing now. End of […]