Monthly Archives: December 2021

On Overshooting

Let’s talk about over­shoot­ing, of the ten­den­cy of things to move too far in one direc­tion, and then retrace. We are of course espe­cial­ly inter­est­ed in the dynam­ics of the crowd that over­shoots. But the fact of over­shoot­ing is a com­mon occur­rence in many dif­fer­ent kinds of sit­u­a­tions. In the mar­ket we see many vari­a­tions […]

On Isolation

Let’s talk about the trader’s neme­sis, iso­la­tion — the prob­lems it caus­es, and the ben­e­fits that come from it. Iso­la­tion is a nec­es­sary cor­rel­a­tive of trad­ing. I’m not refer­ring to phys­i­cal iso­la­tion, though that is some­times nec­es­sary and use­ful. I’m talk­ing of men­tal iso­la­tion, inde­pen­dence, and sep­a­rate­ness. The essence of trad­ing is inde­pen­dence. A trad­er […]

On Freedom

Let’s talk about free­dom, and of depen­den­cy. We speak of liv­ing free in an unfree world. We live in a world sur­pris­ing­ly lack­ing in free­dom. In the Unit­ed States and in many oth­er west­ern indus­tri­al­ized coun­tries we live inside a myth of free­dom, that is, we believe we are freer than we actu­al­ly are. Our […]

On Responsibility and Anger

The top­ic here is tak­ing full respon­si­bil­i­ty for all of our actions. And we speak of anger towards oth­ers and towards our­selves. First, about respon­si­bil­i­ty. Why do we need to dis­cuss this here? Are we not all ful­ly respon­si­ble adults, as we go about earn­ing our liv­ing and pay­ing our bills and meet­ing our oblig­a­tions? […]

Planning, Anticipation, Consistency

We speak here of plan­ning, and antic­i­pa­tion, and con­sis­ten­cy. We speak also of per­fec­tion­ism and the sin of pride. At this point, you should be ready to antic­i­pate the mar­ket at every step. You have the infor­ma­tion you need to know what should be unfold­ing, and the infor­ma­tion you need to tell you if what […]

On Truth and Lying

There is a spe­cial form of lying that is uni­ver­sal and ram­pant. It cor­rupts our per­cep­tions and caus­es all kinds of prob­lems. We con­stant­ly engage in this form of lying, and we nor­mal­ly do not rec­og­nize when we are doing it. And yet it is very harm­ful to our efforts to devel­op self-aware­ness, and our desire to be con­scious of our­selves, and of the world around us.

The Psychology of Congestion Exit

In con­ges­tion exit we leave the known, and we embark upon the unknown.
In doing so we must vio­late the bound­aries of nor­mal­i­ty that were so good to us in con­ges­tion action. We step out now afresh, in search of new lim­its, mov­ing first into that are­na where lim­its have not yet been set.